Wednesday, November 30, 2011

2012 COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS

2012 CBB RECORD 2-4
-20 Units


DUQ +5.5 - 15 units
Duqs vs pitt is the big matchup tonight.  Overall there is big money on pitt, yet the line has gone 1.5 pts in the wrong direction imo. Around 75 percent on spread, 99 percent on ml, yet the line keeps moving down. Started at 7, now is at 5 on most books.

- Duqs play a lot at this stadium are more familiar with it, Pitt is not, and when they do play there, they have not shot well.
- This is a rivalry game. pitt has dominated the series of late, but duqs always play them tough. This is the one game they look forward to all yr long and now they finally have talent to contend.
-Duqs have solid offense, and Pitt is struggling on defense this yr.
-Duqs weakness is rebounding, because they play uptempo, but they are among the best in steals, assists and number 1 in the country in turnover margin. That will be huge in this game.

Another game I like is
UCSB +3 10 units

- rivalry game
- UCSB tough place to play, teams struggle there in general
- trap game, let down game after beating NC, number 1 team in the nation
- overall UNLV shot the ball well, but I see them coming out flat and not having a good shooting night.
- Orlando Johnson on ucsb will be the best player in the game tonight.
- unlv has lost four straight to ucsb
- UCSB is a tourny team with 4 guys back from last year. This is a very important game for them and they need this win for their resume.

Playing these a little smaller.

5 units each

CSU - 3 - Rivalry game. CU just had a bunch of games and a short turn around from their last game.
MSU -7 - FSU is coming off a tough tourny and short turn around time for this game. MSU is solid at home and will have the best player in the game with Draymond Green.  Also, 50/50 money split yet line has gone up to 7.5 in favor of MSU on some books.
Gonzaga - 11 - ND has no abromaithis and they have been terrible this year, with or without him.  Plus they are traveling to the west coast, late night game, tough place to play, and a revenge for zaga since nd beat them last year.

gluck tonight playaz...

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