Sunday, October 23, 2011

STONE COLD LEAD PIPE DOCKS - WEEK 7


Suman's Pix:
(Last week 2-2-1)
(YTD 13-15-2)

Alright first time I'm sober when writing my picks down in 3 weeks. Let's see if we can get a 5-0 week here.  I'm trailing my master Vik in the standings, and I need this to change. Let's call this underdog week at Docksquad sports...

New York Jets +2
I know, I know, I know...the Jets have looked pathetic so far. They finally got a win last week against a terrible Dolphins team. But the reason I like this pick is that the Chargers haven't looked much better. Ryan Mathews has been stellar, but by in large they haven't shown that spark that caused many people to say they would be playing in the Super Bowl this year. The teams they have beat so far are the Vikings, Chiefs, Dolphins, and Broncos. They lost to the Patriots at Foxborough. Add the fact that this is a west coast team traveling to New York for a 1 pm eastern game, and I think the Jets pull this one out. The public is all over the Chargers in this one. So I'll fade. Jets win this one straight up.

Denver Broncos +1
I think the Tebow era starts off with a bang as they win in Miami for the first time ever (I think..I'm too lazy to fact-check this one). I don't think he's the solution long term in Denver (see: Matt Barkley) but I think he's going to change the culture in that locker room right away. Kid is a winner. The national champion Florida Gators are being honored at halftime of this game in Miami (???) so I think what is normally a terrible home Dolphins crowd will be even more pro-Bronco. I think the Broncos will wildcat the hell out of the Dolphins and Tebow will make more plays than Matt Moore. Keep in mind the Broncos are coming off a bye week, while the Dolphins played on Monday night.

Atlanta Falcons +4
I like picking against teams that are coming off winning/losing streaks. For instance, the Lions were on the huge streak of ATS wins, and lost last week at home. The Niners had a solid gameplan of controlling the ball on offense with getting some pressure on Stafford using just there front 4. I think the Falcons do the same here and keep this one close so I'll take the points. The Niners gashed the Lions defense with the run in the second half. Hello, Michael Turner. The Falcons do struggle at times against the pass so I think the Stafford-Megatron combo will get theres this week too. The Niners got 5 sacks on Stafford last week, and a ton of pressures/hurries. I think the Falcons will use the same formula and keep this one close.

Arizona Cardinals +4
I believe the sharps are all over this line, just as they were over the Jaguars last week when they played the Steelers. The Steelers are really dinged up. Now they have to travel to the desert which is never easy for an east coast team. They are getting healthier, but I think this is the perfect spot for the Steelers to lay an egg as they may be looking ahead to the Patriots next week. The public will be all over the Steelers in this one, so I'll fade.  Look for Larry Fitzgerald to have a huge day against Ike Taylor. I also think a resurgent Beanie Wells will have a nice day. Conversely, Mike Wallace has turned into maybe the biggest deep play threat in football (yes, more than Megatron and Desean Jackson...check his $tats). So that scares may as the Arizona secondary will be without Kerry Rhodes, and struggles even when he is in there. But I think it'll take some late Big Ben magic to pull this one out, so I'll take the points.

Indianapolis Colts +14Absolutely no logic to this one. On paper, the Saints should win this one by 40 coming off that loss to the Bucs. But its Sunday night, and weird things happen on Sunday night. This is the most the Saints have ever been favored by in a game against anyone. But it seems to me that the Saints play down or up to their competition. There has got to be some type of adjustment with Sean Payton in the booth instead of on the field. And believe it or not, the Colts are not half bad this year without Peyton. They have been fiesty in all their games. You gotta think the public will be all over the Saints, so I'll take the points again. I think the Colts will keep it close for 3, and eventually lose in the 4th.

Vik's Pix:
(Last Week 2-3)
(YTD 14-13-3)

Denver Broncos +1
Cowboys -13
Colts/Saints over 48
Ravens -9
Jets/Chargers under 44 (hook)

good luck playaz

Updated Contest Rules:

Since no one has gone against us, I am upping the prize. The weekly prize is now ten bucks.
 



Think you are better than us? We doubt it. To win the $100 Gift Card, you have to participate in a minimum of 16 weeks and you have to beat both Docksquad and Suman recordwise. Ties goto us of course. But if somehow you do beat us, you will be awarded with a $100 Visa Gift Card. Post your five best picks ATS in the comments section. Also, your five ATS picks have to be posted in our comments section each week before kick-off. Our post will be up latest by Sunday mornings, so your picks have to go in the comments section there so that we can keep track of it. Also, you can buy the hook. Another important thing, your spreads can not be different than ours. We scour the web all day, everyday for the latest spreads. If you are picking the same game as us, your spread has to be the same as ours, pretty simple right?...Also, as a weekly thing, if you beat both Docksquad and Suman in a week, we will paypal you $10.00 by the Tuesday of next week. Please send us your paypal id for this. Lastly, good luck, you will need it!

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