Saturday, November 14, 2009

STONE COLD LEAD PIPE DOCKS - WEEK 10



Vik's Pix:
(Last Week 3-2 )
(Overall 18-11-1)

Bills +9 (bought hook)
I know the Titans have looked good the past two weeks, but I still don't think they are good enough to give 9 pts to anyone right now. I'm sticking with my theory where if two bad or ok teams play each other, take the pts. The Bills have a great pass D, which will definitely limit VY and his WR's. Not that they are great to begin with, but it will come into play during this game. The Titans also have a weak rush D, and with Trent Edwards making his return today, I see the Bills actually keeping this game on the ground, to let him get back into things. T.O. is playing today too, which should help a little bit. Also, the main reason I'm taking the pts., is the Bills Defense. I think the D and the Bills running game can keep this game close, so I will take the pts...

Saints -13.5(bought hook just in case)
This game for some reason just seems too easy to me, which does scare me a little bit. But I can't deny the facts that the Rams just don't matchup well vs these Saints. And I don't see this Saints team taking the pedal off the metal, especially Brees and Payton. I'm just going to lay out a few things here which have me taking this high spread. The Saints are first in total offense, the Rams are 28th in defense. The Saints lead the league in rushing TD's, and the Rams are one of the worst run defending teams in the game, ranked 27th. This Rams team is weak vs the deep pass, especially with their struggling safeties. I bet Drew Brees is licking his chops. I see the Saints winning by 20pts, at least...

Cowboys -3
I know everyone is saying GB is going to have a bounce back game this week, and Romo is going to struggle at Lambeau, but I'm not buying it. The Cowboys are hot right now, and are playing really good football. Miles Austin's emergence is really helping Tony Romo right now, and I'm seeing another big game from the both of them. Roy Williams is also showing some signs of life, which can't do anything but help this already rolling offense. Also, here is a little random fact, but Tony Romo is 13-0 in the month of November, with 35 td's during that span. The Packers don't rush the QB in general, and they are going to be missing Kampman. I think this will allow Romo to pick his spots, and for Witten to have a huge day as well, since he won't need to stay back and block for Romo as much. On the flip side of the ball, I just don't see how this Packers line that is already terrible, is going to stop this Cowboys DLine. Ware is going to kill Chad Clifton, and I see this Dallas DLine causing havoc all game long. AR will be on the run all day, so I don't see that many big plays coming from this Packers offense. Ratliff is going to kill too. The Cowboys are also solid vs the rush as well. Too many things are one sided in this game for me to not take the Cowboys.

Chargers pk em (+1 or whatever you can get them at. This line is moving a lot)
I know everyone is loving the Eagles in this game, but I'm going with the home team that is hot in this one. They showed me a lot last week vs the Giants. Rivers did as well. I like it that the Eagles have to travel cross country for this game. I also got to give Ron Rivera credit for changing up his Defense in the past few weeks. They have really improved, and I think they can stop this Eagles offense, who really hasn't looked that good in the past 4 weeks. I do see the Chargers going pass heavy in this game, which should pay benefits for them. The Eagles secondary is banged up and always shuffling, so I see Rivers, VJax and Floyd lighting up the scoreboard with a lot of deep passes in this game. I think that will be the difference in this game, and I see the Chargers winning this game straight up.

Ravens -10
I watched the Bears beat these Browns by a ton, despite being the Bears. I'm sure if you are a Bears fan, or watched that game, you will understand that line. It basically just means that the Browns are terrible. I don't see Brady Quinn coming to the rescue of this squad, especially vs this Ravens D who gets Ngata back this week. Look for the Ravens D to limit Quinn and the passing game. On top of that, Jamal Lewis looks slower then ever, so he won't do anything vs this solid Ravens run D. Sorry Browns fans, who will you take in the lottery next year? On the flip side, look for Ray Rice to have a monster game. The Browns are 31st vs the run, which means Ray Rice will run wild on them. I just see this matchup being too lopsided to not lay the pts.

Bonus game:
Pats +3

This game is going to be awesome to watch. Pats Colts always is. The Colts have been escaping with victories the past two weeks, and I think that ends this weekend. With them being banged up in the secondary, I see the Pats passing all over the field and scoring at will in this one. I really think the Pats win this game straight up, but I'm staying away from making this a lock because of one man. Peyton Manning! I think I will just watch this game and enjoy and just maybe put a small amount on the Pats ml, just for kicks. But the safer bet is taking the pts. But I wouldn't bet the house against Peyton. That guy is too rowdy.

Gluck playaz...

Suman's Pix:
(Last Week 4-1)
(Overall 29-18)

Vikings -16.5
I'll keep doing this until it fails several times in a row. Which it hasn't. But whenever one of the elite teams in the NFL play one of the broke teams, I've been laying the points. This is a lot of points, but f it man. Once again, this is Matthew Stafford's first game in a new environment. Last week it was in Seattle, and he threw 5 picks a la docksquad's boy Cutler (jab). This week its his first game in the whatever the Metrodome is called now against a much better defense. I don't think he'll play well, and I think Adrian Peterson might pop off for 200+ after hearing about how Chris Johnson is better than him all week.

Saints -14
See above. Lets just call this the Lock of the Week and move on. I hate talking about the Rams they annoy me.

Raiders -2
I don't know why in the name of the lord I am picking this game. I will not be watching it when I'm at the club. Joe Posnaski, my boy and a great writer for SI and the Kansas City Star said this might be the worst game in the history of the rivalry. There is absolutely nothing to look forward to in this game. Why would they even televise it. This is atrocious. It's destined to be one of those 11-5 weird score games. Anyways, I think since he's at home Jamarcus might play decently against an atrocious Chiefs defense. While the Raiders defense isn't any better, they have at times this year played really well at home like against Philly a few weeks ago. Plus they got D-Mac back this week so I'm hoping he blasts a couple of big runs.

Dolphins -10
The Dolphins have proved that their wildcat is no fluke. And the Buccaneers defense is terrible against the run. Do the math. I look for Chad Henne to get back on track, and for the Dolphins to pound the Bucs into submission (pause). While Josh Freeman played brilliantly for a rookie in his first game and gave me my only incorrect pick of the week last week, I say he doesn't do it again. I like to pick against bad teams that play good games the week before, because usually bad teams don't have the focus to get that win out of their head, and refocus. The Dolphins defense will play well at home, and I think this one will be over fairly quick.

Falcons -1.5
ATL was my preseason pick to go to the Super Bowl from the NFC, and they'll have to win games like this for that prediction to come true. The Panthers have been playing really good ball lately. DeAngelo has come alive. But I'll take Matt Ryan and Mike White is this QB/Coach battle any day. Michael Turner has come alive in recent weeks. Combine this with the Panthers collapse last week in the Superdome, and I feel the Falcons will come out on top. All favorites this week, lets do this.

IP's Pix:
(Last Week 4-1)
(Overall 18-19-1)

Chargers (-1)
Eagles and Chargers. An exciting AFC vs. NFC matchup. The Chargers are on the comeback trail within the division while the Eagles desperately need a win to keep pace with the Cowboys. I just don’t see the Chargers slowing down. They usually make a run in November and continue it along all the way to December. Look for that trend to continue. Bolts by 7

Cowboys (-3)
The boys from the big D are hitting their stride at the right time. Another win and they can put some distance between them and some others in the NFC East. The Packers cannot protect Aaron Rodgers and against a sick pass rush like Dallas’s forget about it. Cowboys by 14.

Redskins (+4.5)
The Skins have had a done year and are in a lot of turmoil, the coach is under fire the organization itself is in for a shake up. This is one of those games though where the Broncos will play to the level of their competition after they got comfortable with their fast start. Look for the Skins to dominate on defense and eek out a 4 point win

Bengals (+7)
My boys Benson and Palmer got this. Enough said.

Falcons (-2.5)
The Falcons have been a victim of a tough tough schedule, their record is not indicative of how good this team is. The panthers can run the ball and that will be a challenge for ATL, but look for Matt Ryan and Burner Turner to move the ball on the Panthers D and win this one by 7

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