Friday, November 9, 2007

STONE COLD LEAD PIPE DOCKS



We gonna bet today, it's Friday, you ain't got no job, and you ain't got no shit to do!

Yup another week has gone by, and its that time of the week again, with Sunday right around the corner.

I had a decent week last week, bringing me back up to respectability, and Tom is still batting above .500 overall, so let's get rolling! Hopefully we can get this thing turned around and have a big payday this weekend, so here goes: (Click below to read picks)


Tom's Pix:
(Last week 3-3)
(Overall 6-5)

The Chargers and Redskins ruined what would have been a fantastic week. First - San Diego, how do you let Adrian Peterson beat you? The one and only thing the Vikes have going for them on offense is Adrian Peterson. How could you not game plan for that? Seems like common sense right? Second - Washington, there are not words to describe how you let the Jets back into that game. Still, I'll take 3-3 last week and 6-5 on the season as I am still barely ahead of average. I like a lot of the dogs this week. Now on to this weeks picks.

Denver at KC (-3) - Jay Cutler is day to day after that nasty knee injury suffered against the lions last week. Javon Walker won't be coming back until the Titans game. Dwayne Bow is probably and Larry Johnson is currently listed as out with a bad ankle injury. The AFC west is bad. Denver and KC rank 28th and 29th in total offense respectively. The reason KC is favored is their turnover differential is +2 while the broncos sit at -8. Look for that trend to continue this Sunday. The Broncos embarrassed themselves last week at Detroit and KC is an even tougher place to play. I like the Chiefs by a touchdown.

Dallas at NY Giants (+1.5) - Plax Burress is probable. Dallas is killing on offense this season. They rank second in the league in pts per game. The Giants are holding their own at the 6th spot. Eli played his best game this season against the Cowboys and I think he'll play another good game vs them, this time at home. The Giants D was in bad shape during the first meeting, but seems to have found its stride during the last 6 weeks. Both teams are + in turnover margin due to their opportunistic defenses. Terrance Newman is a difference maker for the Cowboys when they play teams in the NFC, but I don't think he can cover Plax. I like the Giants to cover here and outright win the game by a field goal.

Chicago at Oakland (+3) - Who knows why the Bears are favored here? The Raiders score more points per game and turn the ball over less. Is Vegas listening to Ced Benson's declaration that the bears will go 8-0 in the second half? Well I'm not, tho this does reek of a classic game the bears should lose for draft position but will win so as to put them out of the running for a difference maker in the draft. That's why I'm thinking the Bears win, but only on a late field goal with the Raiders up 1. No new major injuries this week except that Urlacher is probable. They should shut him down the rest of the season. Meanwhile, I'd like to take a second to congratulate Jerry Angelo for taking Benson instead of Sean Merriman, Derrick Johnson, Heath Miller, and any other player in the 2005 draft. Thank you Mr. Angelo for making us sit through 3 years of this guy. I look forward to you handing him a big extension next year after he runs for 150 yards in the last meaningless game of the season. I can't even watch this team. Take the points.

Philly (+3) at Washington - These two teams are practically the same team. The Iggles average 19.5 ppg while the Skins throw up and astounding 19. The Iggles convert 41% on third down while the Skins convert 37%. They both have a -1 in turnover margin. Jason Campbell has regressed since a great start to the season. Santana Moss has forgotten how to catch. The Skins have burned me the last two weeks. When in doubt, I am going with the experienced quarterback and Brian Westbrook who for once is not on the injury report this week. The Iggles stink against the run, but it doesn't matter as we saw last week as Clinton Portis has almost 200 yards and they put up a measly 20 on the third worst team in football. Take the Eagles, take the points.

Detroit (+1) at Arizona - The Lions are scoring 25 ppg and are +8 in turnover differential. They have proven they can win on the road running ball by defeating the Bears two weeks ago. They followed that performance up by destroying Denver at home. This team isn't for real, but it's riding high right now. Meanwhile, Arizona is -9 in turnover differential and despite all the hype of Wisenhunt and Russ Grimm amping up their rushing attack, rank 24th in the league in rush yards per game. To top that off, the Lions are a respectable 12th against the run. All of this adds up to the Lions taking the ball away, jumping out to an early lead, and 'Zona throwing more picks as they try to catch up. Vegas still isn't giving the Lions any respect, but I am after personally watching them beat the schnike out of the Bears in Chicago. Take the Lions and the points.

Vik's Pix:

(Last Week 3-2-1)
(Overall 4-6-1)

Indy(-3) at Sd - I am loving Indy in this one. I bought the half pt to make the spread 3, just in case it stays close. Watching both Indy and SD play last weekend, I realized three things. One, Petyon and the Colts are raw. I know they lost the game Sunday, but with so many injured players, they still went toe to toe with the Juggernaut we call the Pats, and almost pulled out a W. That deserves props, especially because no other team had covered vs the Pats until that game. The second thing I realized was never bet on a team coached by anyone with the last name of Turner(SD, BEARS). That had to be one of the worst coached games I have ever seen in my life. When Brooks Bollinger is the starting QB, why not put your entire defense in the box if you have to, to stop APETE? Instead, Turner stuck with his normal defensive game plan and conservative offense and we all know what the outcome was in that one. Thanks Turner thanks, for costing me big money last Sunday. I had the Chargers in a teaser, and all they had to do was win. Lastly, I realized that Rivers stinks! He under throws every wr and folds under pressure on every down. With so many weapons on offense, it amazes me that the Chargers do not score more. Antonio Gates had one catch for 10 yards. Thanks Rivers and Turner, thanks!
Anyways, look for the Colts to carve up Sd's defense this weekend. The Chargers are ranked 24th vs the pass, so Manning and co. should roll. I think the Colts will be angry from last week's loss and come out gunning and roll on this phony Chargers team. Give the 3 and take the Colts.

Buff Bills(-3) at Miami - I don't know how they do it, but the Bills keep on winning with the team they have, and that is all that matters. That being said, I look for them to continue their winning ways this Sunday against the Dolphins this weekend. I think they will be powered to victory by a huge game from MLYNCH against a fins D that is ranked 31st against the run. The Losman and Lee Evans combo is starting to pick up steam too, which will help Lynch put up numbers even more. I think it is time for the fins to put in their rookie John Beck, because I just have not seen anything from Cleo Lemon all season. The fins are definitely in rebuilding mode, where the Bills are trying to make the playoffs, so look for the Bills to get a W and cover the three in this one.


Detroit Lions(+1) at AZ Cards - I can't believe I am doing this, but I am picking the Lions to win this game outright. I personally did not think they would be any good this year, but they have been playing well, so I need to give credit where it is due. I think the Lions balanced offense will be able to dominate the time of possession, and put up some good points this week. Look for a big game from Roy Will too, because he is long overdue. On the other side of the ball, Warner has been very streaky all year long, and I don't think he will have a huge game in this one either. Look for the Lions opportunistic D to pick off Warner a few times and cause some fumbles as well. This year's Lions remind me a lot of last year's Bears team, where they get all the bounces and rolls at the right exact time. For that I am going to have to go with "God's team" this weekend when it comes to betting, so let's go Lions!

Denver at KC(-3) - Denver has been really streaky this season, with some good wins earlier in the year, but they have been really fading of late. With Cutler and Henry still banged up, and the team going into KC, a really tough place to play, I just don't see how they will be able to put up the big points they are used to putting up. No matter how good KC's team is, KC year in and year out is one of the hardest places to go in and get a W. This year, their defense is really playing well, powered by former Bear Boone, and amazing player in Jared Allen. Last weekend vs the PACK, this KC team really showed me that they can play D vs anyone, and they held their own vs FAVRE, loosing on a late 4th quarter score. Now I know LJ is out, but I just have a feeling that the PRIEST will come back and have a big game this Sunday. There is just something about this guy that always seems to amaze. I think the PRIEST will take em to church Sunday, so take KC and give the three!

Rams(+13) at SAINTS - Now I know the Saints have been on a roll as of late, and Brees is back to last year's form, but I think 13 is just way too much to give in this one. The Rams finally have Bulger and SJAX back after their bye week feeling 100 percent, and that is going to be huge for them. They also get some key OLINEMAN back, which will really help both Bulger and SJAX excel this weekend. If Quinn Gray of the Jags dropped 354 yards on the Saints, I can only wonder what Bulger will do this Sunday. I don't think the Rams can win the game, but I definitely think they can keep this one close, so I am taking the 13. Good luck playaz!!!


1 comments:

Anonymous said...

rough week in the nfl for everyone